Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.271678 2.595202 2.939193 3.331179 3.764451 4.227684 4.759354
2025-01-05 1.765015 2.229042 2.761750 3.413725 4.185055 5.063305 6.133414
2025-01-12 1.361638 1.886962 2.533559 3.376241 4.432702 5.700055 7.320705
2025-01-19 1.116245 1.681133 2.420406 3.437085 4.774787 6.449153 8.674340
2025-01-26 0.928842 1.511346 2.317626 3.480885 5.077276 7.149268 9.993384
2025-02-02 0.788523 1.379011 2.239537 3.535664 5.381569 7.853828 11.342248
2025-02-09 0.661235 1.241745 2.131166 3.526847 5.584616 8.421435 12.525811
2025-02-16 0.547778 1.105067 2.002340 3.467484 5.700279 8.863185 13.547145
2025-02-23 0.473905 1.020810 1.941659 3.499174 5.942067 9.484376 14.835089
2025-03-02 0.398915 0.920590 1.840646 3.453571 6.057453 9.921566 15.872817
2025-03-09 0.350165 0.860234 1.797916 3.494331 6.302378 10.552921 17.208205
2025-03-16 0.302469 0.792928 1.733687 3.490542 6.471901 11.073733 18.396022
2025-03-23 0.277183 0.769596 1.749766 3.630814 6.891061 12.006629 20.256501
2025-03-30 0.250141 0.737749 1.746417 3.736908 7.261342 12.883200 22.071759
2025-04-06 0.212256 0.673046 1.670571 3.703998 7.393950 13.391150 23.342648
2025-04-13 0.189039 0.638726 1.651188 3.772772 7.702896 14.190805 25.092024
2025-04-20 0.167114 0.602716 1.623233 3.821372 7.977030 14.942765 26.790098
2025-04-27 0.148780 0.572049 1.602506 3.881033 8.272110 15.738284 28.581206
2025-05-04 0.128280 0.529961 1.550280 3.871775 8.439134 16.324492 30.052528
2025-05-11 0.107555 0.481222 1.475386 3.807851 8.498637 16.728268 31.236991
2025-05-18 0.094821 0.454278 1.448726 3.842079 8.742919 17.454440 32.970072
2025-05-25 0.079967 0.415399 1.386495 3.792905 8.822296 17.895096 34.239579
2025-06-01 0.070983 0.394689 1.367687 3.836882 9.083354 18.660179 36.070192